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Loved Jonathan Stewart this year. Took the reins in Carolina and – even though he missed three games – nearly cracked 1,000 yards on the ground and scored seven touchdowns. Based on his averages this year, a 16-game slate would have produced more than 1,200 yards. The 76.1 YPG average was the best of his career.
That being said, I am worried about him for 2016.
He had more regular-season touches than any other season in his career.
He will be 29 years old in 2016.
But, more importantly, recent history tells us Stewart will slide back.
Stewart had 258 touches in the 2015 regular season.
The last seven running backs on Super Bowl teams that had 250+ touches in the regular season are Marshawn Lynch (twice), Knowshon Moreno, Ray Rice, Frank Gore, Rashard Mendenhall and Joseph Addai.
Lynch is a potential HOF player. Gore is a longshot. The others aren’t.
But you can’t ignore the drop-offs they experienced.
In the following seasons, those RBs combined for a drop of 35% in touches the next regular season, a 40% drop in yards gained and a 47% drop in touchdowns scored.