2018 QB Class has chance to be the best in years

In the 2018 draft, 13 quarterbacks were drafted. Over the last 1o years, an average of 11.8 QBs were drafted each year. The most over that span was 15 back in 2016:

1 1 Los Angeles Rams Jared Goff  QB California Pac-12 from Tennessee [R1 – 1]
1 2 Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz  QB North Dakota State MVFC from Cleveland [R1 – 2]
1 26 Denver Broncos Paxton Lynch QB Memphis The American from Seattle [R1 – 10]
2 51 New York Jets Christian Hackenberg QB Penn State Big Ten
3 91 New England Patriots Jacoby Brissett QB North Carolina State ACC
3 93 Cleveland Browns Cody Kessler QB USC Pac-12 from Carolina [R3 – 6]
4 100 Oakland Raiders Connor Cook QB Michigan State Big Ten from Tennessee via Philadelphia andCleveland [R4 – 1]
4* 135 Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott  QB Mississippi State SEC
4* 139 Buffalo Bills Cardale Jones QB Ohio State Big Ten Extra compensatory pick authorized by NFLMCand NFLPA[3][4]
5 162 Kansas City Chiefs Kevin Hogan QB Stanford Pac-12 from Seattle [R5 – 11]
6 187 Washington Redskins Nate Sudfeld QB Indiana Big Ten from New Orleans [R6 – 6]
6 191 Detroit Lions Jake Rudock QB Michigan Big Ten
6 201 Jacksonville Jaguars Brandon Allen QB Arkansas SEC from Pittsburgh [R6 – 15]
6 207 San Francisco 49ers Jeff Driskel QB Louisiana Tech C-USA from Denver [R6 – 19]

 

 

Of that group, I would label three of the 15 as being significant contributors a couple of years later: Goff, Wentz and Prescott. The others haven’t established themselves much at all.

But is that worse than the 2014 draft class, which numbered 14 QB draftees?

1 3 Jacksonville Jaguars Blake Bortles QB UCF The American
1 22 Cleveland Browns Johnny Manziel QB Texas A&M SEC from Philadelphia [R1 – 6];
2012 Heisman Trophy winner [N 2]
1 32 Minnesota Vikings Teddy Bridgewater  QB Louisville The American from Seattle [R1 – 9]
2 36 Oakland Raiders Derek Carr  QB Fresno State MW
2 62 New England Patriots Jimmy Garoppolo QB Eastern Illinois OVC
4 120 Arizona Cardinals Logan Thomas QB Virginia Tech ACC
4* 135 Houston Texans Tom Savage QB Pittsburgh ACC
5 163 Kansas City Chiefs Aaron Murray QB Georgia SEC
5 164 Cincinnati Bengals AJ McCarron QB Alabama SEC
6 178 Tennessee Titans Zach Mettenberger QB LSU SEC from Washington [R6 – 1]
6 183 Chicago Bears David Fales QB San Jose State MW from Tampa Bay [R6 – 6]
6 194 Baltimore Ravens Keith Wenning QB Ball State MAC
6* 213 New York Jets Tajh Boyd QB Clemson ACC
6* 214 St. Louis Rams Garrett Gilbert QB SMU The American

 

For my money, the 2014 class has more potential to still be productive. Derek Carr and Teddy Bridgewater have already produced solid seasons. Blake Bortles has been like Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton – a mediocre game manager who needs the defense or someone else on offense to win a game. Bortles is starting for one of the top teams in the AFC, so that counts for something. Jimmy Garrappolo and AJ McCarron (likely) will be starters in Week One for the first time in their careers.

After that 2014 draft, the 2015 draft produced just seven quarterbacks, and none of them have lived up to the billing:

 

1 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston  QB Florida State ACC 2013 Heisman Trophy winner
1 2 Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota QB Oregon Pac-12 2014 Heisman Trophy winner
3 75 New Orleans Saints Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State MW
3 89 St. Louis Rams Sean Mannion QB Oregon State Pac-12 from Carolina [R3 – 9]
4 103 New York Jets Bryce Petty QB Baylor Big 12 from Jacksonville [R4 – 3]
5 147 Green Bay Packers Brett Hundley QB UCLA Pac-12 from Cleveland via New England [R5 – 6]
7* 250 Denver Broncos Trevor Siemian QB Northwestern Big Ten

 

I know Winston and Mariota have been “okay” but they need to be big this year. All the others have done virtually nothing.

I believe the 2018 class will be better, as it seems like teams are doing a better job of using bridge quarterbacks to ease the rookies in to the league. Baker Mayfield went #1,but Tyrod Taylor is going to start Week One. Josh McCown is in New York (Sam Darnold). AJ McCarron is in Buffalo (kid from Wyoming) and Sam Bradford is in line to start over Josh Rosen.

Lamar Jackson is going to be the next QB in Baltimore and Mason Rudolph will wait out the Ben Roethlisberger era in Pittsburgh.

It might take a few years, but the 2018 class might be the best in a long time.